A Complete Guide to Bitcoin Technical Analysis
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Latest Price News and Analysis
Here Are 2 Ways to Benefit From the Impending Bitcoin Volatility Spike
by Nick Chong on July 4, 2020 at 10:00 pm
Bitcoin’s price action has quickly become unbearable for many traders. As NewsBTC has reported extensively over recent days, the crypto market has come to an absolute standstill. In the past week, the cryptocurrency has traded in a right 5.5% range, with bulls and bears not even attempting to break out of the consolidation. Stepping back,
Why One Top Bitcoin Trader Believes Now is the “Calm Before the Storm”
by Cole Petersen on July 4, 2020 at 10:00 pm
Bitcoin has seen some of the most boring price action it has witnessed in over a year. After ranging between $9,000 and $10,000 for over two months, the cryptocurrency has now narrowed its trading range to between $9,000 and $9,300, with BTC primarily just hovering around $9,100. The benchmark digital asset is showing few signs
Nearly Half of Crypto Twitter Doesn’t Think Bitcoin Will Hit $50k in 2021
by Nick Chong on July 4, 2020 at 6:00 pm
There’s been much debate over recent weeks over the work of Bitcoin analyst “PlanB” and his Stock to Flow (S2F) model. Some have argued that his work is valid while others aren’t so sure. On July 3rd, the analyst put the community to a vote, asking whether or not they believe in the model. The
Research Firm: Cardano (ADA) Is One of the “Most Bullish” Crypto Assets
by Nick Chong on July 4, 2020 at 7:30 am
Aside from Bitcoin, Cardano (ADA) has rapidly become one of the most popular cryptocurrencies over recent weeks by investors and traders alike. The prominent altcoin, which has re-entered the top-10, has recently been subject to a strong boost. Data indicates that ADA is up 150% since the start of 2020, outpacing Bitcoin by around five
Last Time Bitcoin Volatility Was This Low, BTC Surged by 25% in 24 Hours
by Nick Chong on July 4, 2020 at 4:00 am
For the past few weeks, Bitcoin analysts have observed extremely low volatility in the nascent cryptocurrency market. Nothing shows this inaction quite as well as the chart below from Blockroots founder Josh Rager. It shows that for the past eight weeks now, BTC has been trapped in a ~15% range — something abnormal for this
A Signal Last Seen Before Bitcoin Plunged to $3,700 Is About to Return
by Nick Chong on July 3, 2020 at 11:00 pm
To many, determining which direction Bitcoin trends from here is a coin toss. One trader shared the image below with the caption: “You guys still trading this garbage? I’m not doing anything until one of these lines gets hit.” That’s to say, the analyst isn’t taking a trading position in Bitcoin because he has no
Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin’s V-Shaped Reversal at $3,700 Is Bullish
by Nick Chong on July 3, 2020 at 9:00 pm
It’s been a tough past few weeks for the Bitcoin market. Some are skeptical that the cryptocurrency is in a bull trend after BTC has sustained multiple rejections at $10,000. Yet a trader that nailed a bold prediction remains optimistic, sharing a number of signals indicating imminent upside. Bitcoin Could Soon See a Bounce, Says
Here’s Why Ethereum’s Consolidation Could Result in an Explosive Move...
by Cole Petersen on July 3, 2020 at 9:00 pm
Ethereum has been consolidating over the past few days within the $220 region. Although on the surface its price structure seems similar to that of Bitcoin and its peers, it is important to note that it is currently stuck beneath its long-held trading range between $230 and $250. Its sustained bout of trading below this
Sparks Fly as Critics Question Bitcoin Model Predicting $100,000 by 2021
by Nick Chong on July 3, 2020 at 7:00 pm
The Bitcoin Stock to Flow (S2F) model created by the pseudonymous analyst “PlanB” has been a controversial subject over the past year. A majority of cryptocurrency investors on Twitter seemingly believe in the model, though it’s increasingly come under fire. Debate about PlanB’s work has come to a head over the past few days as
Chainlink Investors Worry About a Correction, But On-Chain Metrics Tell...
by Ali Martinez on July 3, 2020 at 2:46 pm
Chainlink has seen an impressive rally thus far this year. It has been fueled by different partnerships that have put this altcoin in the spotlight of the cryptocurrency market. The decentralized oracles token provided investors a mid-year return of investment of nearly 160% as its price rose from a yearly open of $1.76 to close
Bitcoin Price Update for October 2, 2019
on December 2, 2019 at 4:58 pm
Below is a recap we did on Bitcoin's performance throughout September 2019. It had its ups and downs and for more details - read all about it in our article!
Altcoin Market Update for October 2, 2019
on December 2, 2019 at 4:57 pm
Our first altcoin market update from October 2019 - here we do a recap of the altcoin performance from our watchlist and discuss where they might head in the near future.
Bitcoin Price Update for September 25, 2019
on November 27, 2019 at 7:47 pm
This is our latest Bitcoin price update from 25tth September 2019 where we take a look at how Bitcoin has been performing in the markets. We also provide our commentary on its state so read more about it here!
Altcoin Market Update for September 25, 2019
on November 27, 2019 at 7:46 pm
In our Altcoin market update, we take a look at what has influenced the altcoins on our watchlist the most in terms of price and market movement, and we analyze where Ether, Monero, Ripple, and others stand at the moment. Take a look!
Altcoin Market Update for September 18, 2019
on November 25, 2019 at 1:57 pm
Our Altcoin market update from 18th September 2019 is up - in it, we take a look at the latest price fluctuations and trends that influenced some of our top altcoin movements.
What is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis (TA) is a methodology for forecasting future price movements by studying past market data for price and volume, and seeking patterns within that data.
A technical analyst will look for continuing patterns, or trends, which indicate the general direction of price movement. They will also look for repeating patterns, which are used to gauge whether a trend is likely to continue or reverse, and to indicate the point at which a reversal may take place. In addition to visually recognizable patterns, various mathematical models are used to indicate trend reversals or confirm continuing trends. These mathematical ‘indicators’ are often visually represented on charts using an ‘overlay’. Indicators can be used to select entry points for longer term positions determined via fundamental analysis, or for day trading strategies such as swing trading.
Many of these visual and mathematical patterns, which tend to repeat over and over again in various different financial markets, have been identified over the course of centuries. Analysts will seek to identify these patterns forming within current market data in order to find indicators for forecasting, and multiple indicators will usually be combined together to provide buy or sell signals of varying strengths.
A typical chart has been embedded at the top of this page which includes two common indicators – Bollinger bands and moving average lines – and one more interesting and unusual indicator: the phases of the moon. You can modify the chart to look for other indicators by clicking the button which looks like a bar chart with a zig-zag arrow above it.
Does it Work for Bitcoin & Altcoins?
The patterns studied by TA are generally caused by the actions of market participants themselves, rather than any changes to the underlying value of what is being traded (although of course the underlying value changes are ‘priced in’ by the market participants). They represent common psychological traits, the actions of people making decisions based on knowledge which comes into their possession, and so on. As such, these techniques can be applied to most financial markets.
It is generally thought, however, that these techniques do tend to break down in smaller markets with low volume and liquidity.
So it is probably safe to say that if technical analysis works at all, then it should work for Bitcoin. But is also true to say that it will be unreliable for smaller altcoin markets. This is not a hard rule, but a general guide. The most popular altcoins, or coins going through periods of high volume, may prove to be valid exceptions. It is down to the individual trader to make a judgement as to what extent these tools can be trusted for any specific market.
Top Resources for Bitcoin Technical Analysis by Experts
If you are new to this topic then perhaps the best thing that you can do is follow the analysis provided by established experts, both for making more educated investment decisions and for learning how to become a better analyst yourself. You can view some great articles published on news websites in the left hand column of this page, but for more detailed and timely information here are some of the best sources for professional analysts’ opinions on the Bitcoin price:
- XBT Social: For a monthly membership fee this site give you access to a daily analysis by professional traders, email alerts for sudden price movements, exclusive news stories, and access to an ‘exclusive community’ of other traders.
- BullBearAnalytics: A team of professional analysts provide paying members of this site with complete, actionable trade signals for both BTC and altcoins, a daily market update, and a more in-depth weekly report.
- BraveNewCoin Reports: This is a well-known information site which publishes regular reports covering sentiment, fundamental and technical analysis extended across a wide range of altcoin markets as well as BTC.
- TradingView: In addition to providing a range of charting tools you may find useful, TradingView allows its users to share their analysis with others. This is the only source in this section where you an view content for free, but please beware that not all of the authors are professional traders.
Analyst Opinion Summary
The widget you can see below displays the latest opinion of analysts on Investing.com with simple signals of ‘Strong Buy’, ‘Buy’, ‘Neutral’, ‘Sell’ and ‘Strong Sell’. It is automatically set to a 1 minute time Frame which probably won’t be very useful for most traders, but you can change that to display a longer period without leaving the page:
Bitcoin Technical Analysis Software: Charts and Tools
A handy charting tool created by TradingView is provided at the top of this page, and I wholeheartedly recommend you have a play with it if you haven’t already. But of course there are also many other useful charts and tools that you may like to use. Here are some of the best ones:
- Cryptowatch – This site allows you to view price data chart from a range of different exchanges for BTC/USD, BTC/EUR and BTC/CNY. They offer a range of different chart types including Heikin-Ashi, bar, line, mountain or candlestick, and access to a wide range of customizable indicators and overlays. If you create an account you can also connect it to the Bitfinex exchange API and use it as a complete trading platform.
- BTC-E – One of the most popular tools on the traditional financial markets is MetaTrader 4. This exchange allows you to use MT4 for Bitcoin trading.
- Bitcoin Charts – This site has a clean design and is easy to use, and offers a wide range of charts including candlestick, OHLC, closing, median, or typical price, and weighted close. You can view data from pretty much every BTC/fiat exchange with up to four indicators at a time.
- Quandl – If you want to go beyond price and volume data to look at things like the transaction and mining data then this is a great source of information with lots of different charts and the option to export data via API or download as CSV files.
- TradingView – You can see and use the charting tool from TradingView at the top of this page.
- BitcoinChain – An interesting combination of TA charting tools and block explorer for general network stats and transactions, which also pulls order books and latest trades from several top exchanges.
Best Free Sites to Start Learning Technical Analysis
There are loads of great resources available on the internet that you can access for free, to start your journey and learn all about TA. Here is a small selection of the best ones:
- Investopedia: The Basic of Technical Analysis – If you are a complete beginner then this is a great place to start. It will introduce you to the basic principles and terminology that you need to know, as well as some of the most popular chart types and indicators.
- Chart School – This free resource provided by the StockCharts.com website includes a huge amount of information on every aspect of TA.
- InvestTools – There are some really excellent paid courses here, but there are also several free classes which are well worth it for beginners.
- ProBitcoinTrading – Although not specifically related to just TA, this site offers some excellent general trading tips, including a free ebook as well as premium ebooks and consultancy services.